更新时间:09-05 (Angela)提供原创文章
摘要:2010年中国与东盟的贸易摆脱了金融危机的困扰,再次回到高增长的轨道,增速居于中国各大贸易伙伴前列且年内较为平稳,中国和东盟贸易总量呈上升的趋势。但由于中国与东盟国家在经济发展水平、产业结构等方面的相似性和差异性,从而导致了贸易关系中的竞争性与互补性。本文主要通过比较优势指数跟出口相似度指数等方法对双方贸易互补和竞争进行分析,增加对中国和东盟经济合作的关注,也为我国企业进入东盟市场避免竞争加强互补提供参考。
关键词:贸易互补,贸易竞争,产业内互补,比较优势指数,出口相似度指数
Abstract:In 2010, trade between China and ASEAN to get rid of the troubles of the financial crisis to return to high growth track, the growth rate of living in the forefront of Chinese major trading partners during the year is relatively stable, China and ASEAN trade volume showed an upward trend. However, due to the similarities and differences between China and ASEAN countries in the level of economic development, industrial structure and other aspects, resulting in a competitive and complementary trade relations. This article mainly through the method of comparative advantage with the export similarity index analysis of bilateral trade complementary and competition, increase the concern of China and ASEAN economic cooperation, strengthening complementary to provide a reference for Chinese enterprises to enter the ASEAN market to avoid competition .
Key Words: Trade complementary,Trade competition,Industry within the complementary,Comparative advantage index,Export similarity index
中国与东盟建立友好对话机制20多年来,双方的贸易正以平均每年25%的速度增长,如今,中国成为东盟第一大贸易伙伴,东盟成为中国第三大贸易伙伴。综观中国与东盟各国的经济,虽然发展水平不一,国情有别,但都各有所长,亦各有所短,在双方经贸交往中,存在着诸多互补性,正是这种互补性,促使双方走上相互合作、共创双赢的发展道路;然而,由于双方的经济贸易在某种程度上又有一些相似之处,使得双方的贸易也存在一定的竞争性,东盟国家一直把中国视为其最有威胁的竞争对手之一。研究双方贸易结构的互补和竞争的态势,展望未来趋势,对我们制定正确的外贸政策有着重大的指导意义。本文从不同的角度对中国与东盟的贸易竞争与互补关系进行定量分析。最后本文会对减轻中国和东盟贸易竞争性、增强互补性提出了一些政策建议,如优化出口产品结构、发展与东盟的产业内贸易、加快产业升级等等。